Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

This event tracks the total number of seats won by the Likud party in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Markets cover distinct ranges of Knesset seat counts.

How the outcomes relate

The event is structured as mutually exclusive seat-count brackets. Because Likud will finish with a single definitive seat total, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if Likud's seat total falls within its specified range, and No otherwise. If Likud runs as part of a joint candidate list or merges with another party, all seats won by the joint list or merged party are counted. Resolution is based on election results confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, or official figures from Israel's Central Election Committee in case of ambiguity. If results are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to the lowest range bracket.

Key dates

• Expected election date: Oct 27, 2026 — Expected date for the Israeli legislative election.
• Resolution cutoff deadline: Oct 31, 2027 — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET after which the event resolves to the lowest range bracket if results are unknown.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, with Israel's Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) as the official authority if ambiguity exists

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 17 Oct 2026, 15:33 UTC