Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Lula at 61% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Oct 26, 2026 · $102.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which candidate will receive the most valid votes in the state of Amazonas during the second round of Brazil's presidential election scheduled for October 25, 2026.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific candidate competing for first place in Amazonas. Because resolution is based on ranking candidates by valid votes with tie-breakers, exactly one candidate market can resolve Yes, while all others resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the named candidate wins the most valid votes in Amazonas during the second round of the presidential election. Candidates are ranked primarily by valid votes won, with ties broken by alphabetical order of their listed full names. If the result is not definitively known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to 'Other'. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, or official data from Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Scheduled second round election date:
- Definitive resolution deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lula | 61% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | 39% | ▲ 2 | Low | Med |