IA-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Lindsay James (D) at 61% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $31.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat representing Iowa's 2nd Congressional District (IA-02). Markets measure which political party will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent mutually exclusive political party outcomes for winning the single congressional district seat. Because only one candidate and party can win the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the IA-02 congressional district election in the 2026 midterms, and No otherwise. Affiliation is based on ballot listing, identifiable party affiliation, or declared caucusing intent at the time all 2026 House elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results used if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — The date the 2026 midterm elections will take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) as the official source in case of ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay James (D) | 61% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Joe Mitchell (R) | 38% | ▼ 3 | Low | High |