VA-01 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Shannon Taylor (D) at 57% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $73.1K total volume
About this event
This event covers the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Virginia's 1st congressional district (VA-01). Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a political party or candidate competing for the single congressional seat. Because only one candidate wins the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the winning candidate for Virginia's 1st congressional district belongs to or caucuses with the specified party, and No otherwise. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or most recently stated intent to caucus when all House elections are called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission serving as the official fallback if results are ambiguous.
Key dates
- Midterm elections date: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback source.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Taylor (D) | 57% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Rob Wittman (R) | 44% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |