TX-23 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Brandon Herrera (R) at 70% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $95.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Texas's 23rd congressional district (TX-23). Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the congressional district seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties or candidates competing for the TX-23 seat. Because only one candidate/party can win the single congressional district seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with that market's designated party wins the TX-23 seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus at the time all 2026 House races are called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, or official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Elections: — Date of the election for the TX-23 congressional district seat.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if ambiguous
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Herrera (R) | 70% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Katy Padilla Stout (D) | 32% | ±0 | Low | High |