PA-11 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Lloyd Smucker (R) at 97% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $57.5K total volume
About this event
This event covers the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district (PA-11). Markets track which political party or candidate will win the congressional seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party or candidate competing for the PA-11 congressional district seat. Because only one winner will take the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate winning the PA-11 seat in the 2026 midterm elections represents that market's specified party, and No otherwise. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House races are called, or by expressed intent to caucus for unaffiliated candidates. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results used if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — Date when the 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) as the official government source in case of ambiguity.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lloyd Smucker (R) | 97% | ▲ 2 | Low | High | |
| Nancy Mannion (D) | 4% | ▼ 1 | Low | High |