NJ-07 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Rebecca Bennett (D) at 92% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $49.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for New Jersey's 7th congressional district (NJ-07). Markets measure which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party. Since only one candidate and party can win the single congressional district seat, at most one market can resolve Yes, while the others resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House elections are called, or by the party they most recently expressed intent to caucus with if unaffiliated. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results used if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if there is ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Bennett (D) | 92% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Thomas Kean Jr. (R) | 9% | ±0 | Low | Med |