RI-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Seth Magaziner (D) at 94% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $51.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district (RI-02) in the U.S. House of Representatives. Markets track which political party or candidate will win the congressional seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets for each political party or candidate competing for the single House seat. Only one candidate or party can win the seat, meaning at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the RI-02 seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when elections are called, or by stated caucus intent for unaffiliated candidates. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results serving as the fallback if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — The midterm elections will take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) as the fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Magaziner (D) | 94% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Victor Mellor (R) | 5% | ▼ 2 | Low | Med |