EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Change in points, 24hView event →
Politics markets
1,111 live Polymarket markets in 428 events- LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 18 PTS
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver37.5¢−10¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 35.5–47.5¢ · explanation pending - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 63–84% - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 16 PTS
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks49.5¢−7¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCENot enough evidence for a likely driver yet. - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 86–97% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 35–48% - EVENT · 25 OUTCOMES
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
+20 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 80–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
Change in points, 24hView event →Likud · 7 daysRange 45–70% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 31–42% - MedGotcha
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions40.95¢+6.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 29.4–41.55¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver10.85¢+5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 5.85–13.45¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 30–43% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bo French (R) · 7 daysRange 40–59% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%40%▲ 3Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%28%▼ 2Lula da Silva <4%21%▲ 2Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%10%▲ 1Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+3%±0+3 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 10 OUTCOMES
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia71%▲ 2Student List – Students Win31%▼ 1Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%±0Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%±0Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%±0+5 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 19 OUTCOMES
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot50%▲ 4Benjamin Netanyahu28%▼ 4Naftali Bennett14%▼ 1Avigdor Lieberman3%▲ 1Itamar Ben Gvir<1%±0+14 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chiang Wan-an · 7 daysRange 57–68% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 82–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 63–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CO-04 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lauren Boebert (R) · 7 daysFlat at 72% - EVENT · 43 OUTCOMES
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
+38 more outcomesView event → - MedGotcha
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverTimingExceptions21.5¢−3.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 21.5–25.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jamie Ager (D) · Since Oct 14Range 75–86% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Abbott (R) · 7 daysRange 73–80% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Abdul El-Sayed (D) · 7 daysRange 69–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Sherrod Brown (D) · 7 daysRange 62–69% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · 7 daysRange 88–94% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Su Chiao-hui · 7 daysRange 46–67% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chris Pappas (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tina Kotek (D) · 7 daysRange 76–79% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-23 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brandon Herrera (R) · 7 daysRange 64–72% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Hamilton Wins · Since Oct 14Range 37–39% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NJ-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rebecca Bennett (D) · 7 daysRange 90–93% - LowGotcha
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver72.5¢+2.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 70–73¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Cooper 9-12% · Since Oct 17Range 23–26% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lloyd Smucker (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks5.15¢−0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.4–7.7¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
RI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Seth Magaziner (D) · Since Oct 14Range 92–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
IA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lindsay James (D) · 7 daysRange 57–63% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 45–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Shannon Taylor (D) · 7 daysRange 54–60%