FL-26 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Mario Díaz-Balart (R) at 89% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $85.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat representing Florida's 26th Congressional District. Markets evaluate which political party or candidate will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party winning the congressional seat. Since only one candidate can win the single House seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation at the time elections are called, or by expressed intent to caucus for candidates without listed affiliations. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results serving as the fallback in case of ambiguity.
Key dates
- Midterm election day: — The date on which the 2026 midterm elections will take place.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission as a fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Díaz-Balart (R) | 89% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Nicole Locklin (D) | 11% | ±0 | Low | Med |