PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

FL-07 House Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Ryan Elijah (R) at 68% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $34.4K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the FL-07 U.S. House of Representatives race in the 2026 midterm elections. Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the congressional district seat.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a political party competing for the seat. Because only one candidate wins the congressional district, at most one party market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that party wins the FL-07 seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or stated intent to caucus when all House races are conclusively called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.

Key dates

  • Midterm Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for FL-07 House Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Ryan Elijah (R)68%±0LowHigh
Bale Dalton (D)32%±0LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Ryan Elijah (R) · 7 daysRange 64–68%