EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Change in points, 24hView event →
Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 63–84%
Politics markets
1,001 live Polymarket markets in 402 events- LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 18 PTS
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver39¢−8.5¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 35.5–47.5¢ · explanation pending - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 16 PTS
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks50.5¢−5.5¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NO CLEAR CATALYSTNo headline in the hours around the move explains it.5 headlines checked - EVENT · 25 OUTCOMES
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
+20 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
Change in points, 24hView event →Likud · 7 daysRange 45–70% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver10.95¢+5.1¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 5.85–13.45¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bo French (R) · 7 daysRange 40–59% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 10 OUTCOMES
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia69%▲ 1Student List – Students Win31%▼ 1Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%±0Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%±0Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%±0+5 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chiang Wan-an · 7 daysRange 57–68% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
+2 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions21¢−4.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 19–26.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 82–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 63–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CO-04 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lauren Boebert (R) · 7 daysFlat at 72% - EVENT · 43 OUTCOMES
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
+38 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jamie Ager (D) · Since Oct 14Range 75–86% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Abbott (R) · 7 daysRange 73–80% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Abdul El-Sayed (D) · 7 daysRange 69–71% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Sherrod Brown (D) · 7 daysRange 62–69% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · 7 daysRange 88–94% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Su Chiao-hui · 7 daysRange 46–67% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chris Pappas (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tina Kotek (D) · 7 daysRange 76–79% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-23 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brandon Herrera (R) · 7 daysRange 64–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Marshall 0-5% · Since Oct 14Range 24–41% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NJ-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rebecca Bennett (D) · 7 daysRange 90–93% - LowGotcha
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver72.5¢+2.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 70–73¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Cooper 9-12% · Since Oct 17Range 23–26% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ryan Elijah (R) · 7 daysRange 64–71% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lloyd Smucker (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks5.2¢+0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.4–7.7¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
RI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Seth Magaziner (D) · Since Oct 14Range 92–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
IA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lindsay James (D) · 7 daysRange 57–63% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 45–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Peltola 0-3% · Since Oct 17Range 32–35% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Shannon Taylor (D) · 7 daysRange 54–60% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-26 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mario Díaz-Balart (R) · 7 daysRange 89–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Change in points, 24hView event →Labour Party · 7 daysRange 54–55% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.8¢+1.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–5.95¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.7¢+1.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–5.7¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver96.45¢+1.05¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 94.2–96.45¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Amy Klobuchar (D) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Pete Ricketts (R) · 7 daysRange 71–73%