EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+1 more outcomesView event →
Markets
2,009 live Polymarket markets in 615 events- EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · 7 daysRange 88–94% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Su Chiao-hui · 7 daysRange 46–67% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chris Pappas (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tina Kotek (D) · 7 daysRange 76–79% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-23 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brandon Herrera (R) · 7 daysRange 64–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Marshall 0-5% · Since Oct 14Range 24–41% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NJ-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rebecca Bennett (D) · 7 daysRange 90–93% - LowGotcha
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver72.5¢+2.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 70–73¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Cooper 9-12% · Since Oct 17Range 23–26% - EVENT · 15 OUTCOMES
NBA: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion
+10 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lloyd Smucker (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks5.15¢−0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.4–7.7¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
RI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Seth Magaziner (D) · Since Oct 14Range 92–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
What price will XRP hit in October?
Change in points, 24hView event →↑ 1.60 · Since Oct 17Range 8–13% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
IA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lindsay James (D) · 7 daysRange 57–63% - LowGotcha
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver8¢−1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 6–9.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 45–70% - LowGotcha
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks6¢−2.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 6–8.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Peltola 0-3% · Since Oct 17Range 32–35% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Shannon Taylor (D) · 7 daysRange 54–60% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-26 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mario Díaz-Balart (R) · 7 daysRange 89–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Change in points, 24hView event →Labour Party · 7 daysRange 54–55% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.65¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–5.95¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.7¢+1.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–5.7¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver96.45¢+1.05¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 94.2–96.45¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
+3 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Amy Klobuchar (D) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Pete Ricketts (R) · 7 daysRange 71–73% - EVENT · 15 OUTCOMES
NBA: 2027 Western Conference Champion
San Antonio Spurs35%±0Oklahoma City Thunder34%±0Minnesota Timberwolves11%▼ 2Denver Nuggets7%±0Los Angeles Lakers5%±0+10 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 14 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election
+9 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →March 31, 2027 · 7 daysRange 18–28% - EVENT · 11 OUTCOMES
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
+6 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aaron Ford (D) · 7 daysRange 52–59% - EVENT · 16 OUTCOMES
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier Milei48%▼ 1Axel Kicillof32%▲ 2Sergio Massa12%▲ 1Patricia Bullrich4%▲ 2Cristina Fernández de Kirchner1%±0+11 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions11.5¢−5¢ 7d7 daysRange 10.5–16.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC
Change in points, 24hView event →FC Bayern München · Since Oct 16Range 45–48% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Troy Jackson (D) · 7 daysRange 59–62% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OK-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Stephanie Bice (R) · Since Oct 17Range 87–89% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming19¢+4.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 14.5–19.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Change in points, 24hView event →Hike–Pause–Hike · 7 daysRange 51–69% - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 12 PTS
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions68¢+2¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · RELATED OUTCOMES1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) (up). - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Don Davis (D) · 7 daysRange 67–73%