OK-05 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Stephanie Bice (R) at 88% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $24.8K total volume
About this event
This event covers the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in Oklahoma's 5th congressional district (OK-05), measuring which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party. Because a single candidate wins the congressional seat, at most one market can resolve Yes based on the winning candidate's party affiliation or intent to caucus.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the OK-05 seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when elections are called, or by expressed intent to caucus for candidates without listed affiliations. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission serving as the official fallback if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) as the official fallback
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Bice (R) | 88% | ▲ 2 | Low | High | |
| Jena Nelson (D) | 13% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |