Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.2¢
−1.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.2%
$9.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are clearly defined with an objective resolution metric and source. Resolution relies entirely on the Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle high price reaching or exceeding $3.80 between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. It resolves immediately to Yes upon hitting the target, and to No otherwise. Data from other exchanges or trading pairs is explicitly excluded, leaving no room for decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $3.80 against USDT on Binance by December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT on Binance shows a final High price equal to or greater than $3.80 between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The deciding source is Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Observation period start: — 14:30 ET
- Observation period end: — 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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