Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.05¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.05%
$6.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market rules provide clear, objective criteria tied to a specific exchange data feed. Resolution hinges entirely on the 1-minute candle high of the XRP/USDT trading pair on Binance reaching or exceeding $4.00 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, in Eastern Time. If that price is reached at any point in the window, the market resolves to Yes immediately; otherwise, it resolves to No after the deadline. There is no decider discretion, and prices on other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $4.00 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, based strictly on Binance 1-minute candle data for the XRP/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $4.00 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds this price threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely by Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute chart data, disregarding prices from all other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- Start Date: — Measurement window begins at 14:30 ET.
- End Date: — Measurement window closes at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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