Maine Senate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Troy Jackson (D) at 61% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $2.3M total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate midterm election, measuring which political party's nominee or candidate will win the seat, inclusive of any run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured with separate markets for different political parties or candidates competing in the same election. Because the race resolves based on the single winning candidate, only one market can resolve Yes, while the others resolve No. Candidates running as independents are not encompassed by the Democratic or Republican options.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on whether the nominee of the specified party or candidate wins the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election. A party market resolves Yes if its nominee wins the race, and No otherwise. If a named candidate is replaced as the party nominee before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate; if all three do not agree, it resolves based on official certification.
Key dates
- Election Year: Year of the Maine U.S. Senate midterm election Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Jackson (D) | 61% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| Susan Collins (R) | 41% | ±0 | Low | High |