NC-01 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Don Davis (D) at 72% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $38.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for North Carolina's 1st congressional district (NC-01), measuring which political party or candidate wins the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party winning the NC-01 congressional district seat. Since only one candidate and party can win the single House seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that market's specified party wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus at the time all 2026 House elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission serving as the source if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place on this date.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Davis (D) | 72% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Laurie Buckhout (R) | 28% | ▼ 2 | Low | Med |