Argentina Presidential Election Winner
18 live outcomes · highest priced: Javier Milei at 49% (+3 pts in 24h) · first close Oct 24, 2027 · $953.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the next Argentinian presidential election scheduled for 2027. Markets measure whether specific candidate options will win the presidency, accounting for any potential second round.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured with individual markets representing potential candidates. Because only one candidate wins the presidential election, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes. If the winning candidate is not listed or results remain unknown by the deadline, the market resolves to Other.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if its named candidate wins the next Argentinian presidential election, including any potential runoff or second round. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with ambiguities decided solely by official results from Argentine government sources like the Cámara Nacional Electoral and the Dirección Nacional Electoral. If results are not definitively known by October 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Scheduled election date:
- Definitive result deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with fallback to Argentina government sources including the Cámara Nacional Electoral and Dirección Nacional Electoral
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 49% | ▲ 3 | Low | High | |
| Axel Kicillof | 30% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Sergio Massa | 11% | ▼ 4 | Low | Med | |
| Patricia Bullrich | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Myriam Bregman | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Dante Gebel | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Guillermo Moreno | 1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Victoria Villarruel | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Máximo Kirchner | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Juan Schiaretti | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Mauricio Macri | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Juan Grabois | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Esteban Bullrich | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Facundo Manes | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Karina Milei | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Nicolás del Caño | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Daniel Hadad | — | — | Not rated | Low |