Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.15%
$24.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules provide precise criteria and leave minimal room for ambiguity. The market explicitly designates Binance's XRP/USDT one-minute candlestick chart as the sole official resolution source, looking at the final High price of any candle. Exact start and end timestamps in the Eastern Time zone are clearly specified, and the market resolves immediately to Yes if the $4.20 threshold is hit, or to No after the final deadline. Other trading pairs and external exchanges are clearly excluded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $4.20 on Binance. Resolution depends strictly on the 1-minute candle High prices for the XRP/USDT trading pair on Binance during the specified observation window.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET shows a final High price equal to or greater than $4.20. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold by the end of the window. Resolution is determined solely by Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data, disregarding all other exchanges, spot markets, or trading pairs.
Key dates
- Observation start: — Candle tracking begins at 14:30 ET.
- Observation end: — Candle tracking ends at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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