Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
Current price
45.5¢
+1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 45.5%
$2.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on whether FC Bayern München wins within standard regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Clear fallback mechanisms and an order of precedence for sources are provided, starting with the official governing body, followed by Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting. A clear standard covers game cancellations and postponements, as well as a 50-50 fallback if data remains unavailable after 24 hours.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether FC Bayern München wins their scheduled match on October 21, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if FC Bayern München wins within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if FC Bayern München does not win, or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If postponed, the market stays open until completed. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of conclusion, it resolves 50-50 or to Draw where applicable. The official governing body or event organizers decide the result. Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting serve as fallback sources.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The date the match is scheduled to take place.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers (with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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