Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?
Current price
9¢
−1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 9%
$15.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly defined, specifying an exact trading pair on Binance (XRP/USDT) and a precise 1-minute candle interval. The time window is strictly bounded in Eastern Time, and early resolution triggers automatically if the target price is touched or exceeded during the specified month. Resolution relies entirely on objective market data from a single designated exchange URL with no room for subjective interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches $1.60 or higher on Binance during the month of October.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the XRP/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $1.60 between October 1 at 00:00 AM ET and October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October
Resolution source
Binance (XRP/USDT 1-minute candle High prices)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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