Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
3.5¢
+0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.5%
$144.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly defined based on objective data from a single named exchange. The market resolves to Yes immediately if the high price on any one-minute Binance XRP/USDT candle equals or exceeds $5.00 within the specified timeframe, and resolves to No otherwise. Participants should note that price action on other exchanges or different XRP trading pairs will not count toward resolution, meaning a spike above the threshold on another trading venue that does not occur on the Binance XRP/USDT pair will not trigger a Yes resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $5.00 before the end of 2026, strictly tracked via Binance's XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the XRP/USDT trading pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $5.00 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified timeframe. Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute chart data is the sole deciding source. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Observation start: — Observation period begins at 14:30 ET
- Observation end: — Observation period ends at 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance (XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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