Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?
Current price
0.4¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.4%
$114.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide objective, clear resolution criteria based on an explicit single exchange and trading pair. Resolution relies strictly on Binance one-minute candle high prices for XRP/USDT within a precisely defined window from 00:00 AM ET on the first day of the month to 11:59 PM ET on the last day. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any qualifying candle high reaches or exceeds $4.00, and otherwise resolves to No at month end. There is no decider discretion and no alternative sources or ambiguous fallback provisions are used.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $4.00 during October. Resolution relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle data for the XRP/USDT trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the XRP/USDT pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $4.00 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during that period. Binance XRP/USDT chart data on the 1-minute setting decides the outcome. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or alternative trading pairs are not considered.
Key dates
- Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October.
- Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October.
Resolution source
Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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