Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
Current price
11.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 11.5%
$23.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clear and rely on official NBA results to determine the winner of the 2027 Eastern Conference Finals. The market specifies early resolution to No as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated or unable to win under league rules. There is also a definitive backstop resolving the market to Other if the season is cancelled or not concluded by June 30, 2027.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Eastern Conference Finals for the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 Eastern Conference Finals per the rules of NBA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NBA season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Miami Heat will win the Eastern Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs. It features early resolution to No upon elimination and a fallback resolution to Other if the season is disrupted past a June 2027 deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference Finals for the 2027 NBA Playoffs. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Miami Heat to win the 2027 Eastern Conference Finals per NBA rules, including if they are eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2027 NBA season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is decided using official information from the NBA, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.
Key dates
- Season resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from NBA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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