Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
4¢
−0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 4%
$31.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market rules provide a clear, unambiguous benchmark tied directly to a single named exchange data feed. Resolution relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the XRP/USDT pair between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, Eastern Time. The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $3.00, and resolves to No if that threshold is never hit by the deadline. The source data is objective with no decider discretion, though participants should note that price spikes on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not count toward resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $3.00 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices from Binance's XRP/USDT pair, ignoring all other exchanges and pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the XRP/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $3.00 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified timeframe. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded. The deciding source is Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute chart data.
Key dates
- Start Date: — Tracking begins at 14:30 ET
- End Date: — Tracking ends at 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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