PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

Nevada Governor Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Aaron Ford (D) at 57% (+3 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $480.4K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, measuring which political party's nominee wins the governor's race.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a political party whose nominee might win the race. Because only one candidate can win the gubernatorial election, at most one market can resolve Yes. Additional candidates or parties may be added later, and independent runs are treated separately.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if its party's nominee wins the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate; if all three do not agree, resolution will rely on official state certification.

Key dates

  • Election year: — Year of the Nevada gubernatorial election

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Nevada Governor Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Aaron Ford (D)57%▲ 3LowHigh
Joe Lombardo (R)42%▼ 5LowHigh

Highest-priced outcome

Aaron Ford (D) · 7 daysRange 52–59%