EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →
Don Davis (D) · 7 daysRange 67–73%
Politics markets
668 live Polymarket markets in 387 events- Can'tGotcha
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No resolution rules published35.5¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 32.5–42¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming19¢+4.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 14.5–19.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
SC-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) · 7 daysRange 68–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MT-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aaron Flint (R) · 7 daysRange 66–71% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Pappas 6-9% · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 20% - LowGotcha
Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver46¢+2¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 44–46¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Change in points, 24hView event →Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 91–92% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Change in points, 24hView event →Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 64–65% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Pete Ricketts (R) · 7 daysRange 71–73% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
California Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Xavier Becerra · 7 daysFlat at 96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →James Talarico (D) · 7 daysRange 62–65% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-06 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jake Ellzey (R) · 7 daysRange 94–100% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%▲ 1No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%▼ 1Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate2%±0Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate1%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Amy Acton (D) · 7 daysRange 69–73% - LowGotcha
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver14.5¢−5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 14.5–19.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Florida Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Byron Donalds (R) · 7 daysRange 79–81% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CO-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jeff Hurd (R) · 7 daysRange 70–73% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mary Peltola · 7 daysRange 73–74% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Abbott (R) · 7 daysRange 73–80% - LowGotcha
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver20¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 12.5–25.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Katie Hobbs (D) · 7 daysRange 87–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Olivia Chow · 7 daysRange 66–77% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ashley Hinson (R) · 7 daysRange 57–59% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WA-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Michael Baumgartner (R) · 7 daysRange 82–89% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Premier of British Columbia
Change in points, 24hView event →Lorne Doerkson · 7 daysRange 75–81% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New York Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kathy Hochul (D) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks24.5¢−6.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 24–31¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-13 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brad Knott (R) · Since Oct 17Range 86–89% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike Rounds (R) · 7 daysRange 92–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Iotova 30-40% · Since 00:56 UTCRange 7–10% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jocelyn Benson (D) · 7 daysRange 93–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Darline Graham Nordone (R) · 7 daysRange 85–86% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Iliana Iotova · 7 daysRange 96–98% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MO-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ann Wagner (R) · 7 daysRange 74–78% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Peggy Flanagan (D) · 7 daysRange 87–88% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rob Sand (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver0.45¢−4.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.35–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →John McGuire (R) · 7 daysRange 68–77% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Crowley (D) · 7 daysRange 81–82% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Nick LaLota (R) · Since Oct 14Range 85–86% - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.9¢+0.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.9¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 3-6% · Since Oct 17Range 27–33%