Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
Current price
14.5¢
Implied probability 14.5%
$189.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that an announcement of a permanent replacement for the White House Press Secretary must occur by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It explicitly excludes acting or interim appointments from qualifying. Resolution relies primarily on official announcements from the administration, with a consensus of credible reporting available as a secondary reference. The criteria and conditions are direct and leave minimal room for unexpected outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Donald Trump or his administration announces a replacement for White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia by October 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The announcement qualifies regardless of when the individual is sworn in or begins serving, but an acting or interim Press Secretary does not count. The market resolves to No if no such qualifying announcement is made by the deadline. Resolution is determined primarily by official information from the Trump administration, or secondarily by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Announcement must occur by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
Official information from the Trump administration, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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