PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

NC-13 House Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Brad Knott (R) at 87% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $10K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for North Carolina's 13th congressional district. Its markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat.

How the outcomes relate

Each market represents a specific political party or candidate competing for the NC-13 seat. Because only one candidate wins the congressional seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that specific political party wins the NC-13 seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House races are called, or by expressed intent to caucus if unaffiliated. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity exists.

Key dates

  • Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for NC-13 House Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Brad Knott (R)87%▼ 1LowMed
Paul Barringer (D)13%▲ 2LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Brad Knott (R) · Since Oct 17Range 87–89%