Michigan Governor Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Jocelyn Benson (D) at 94% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $340.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election. Its markets measure which political party's nominee will win the race, resolving based on election calls from designated media outlets or official election certification.
How the outcomes relate
The markets represent competing political parties seeking to win the single gubernatorial seat. Because only one candidate can win the election, at most one party market can resolve Yes. Candidates running as independents are not encompassed by party options, and other party or independent candidates may be added.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election. A market resolves Yes if its specified party's nominee wins the election; otherwise, it resolves No. If a named candidate is replaced as the party nominee prior to election day, the contract updates to resolve based on the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not call the race for the same candidate, resolution relies on official certification.
Key dates
- Election year: The year of the Michigan gubernatorial election stated in the rules. Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn Benson (D) | 94% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| John James (R) | 6% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| Independent | — | — | Not rated | Low |