Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
8 live outcomes · highest priced: Olivia Chow at 76% · first close Oct 27, 2026 · $419.8K total volume
About this event
This event covers the outcome of the 2026 Toronto mayoral election. Markets measure which individual candidate will become the next mayor of Toronto as a result of the election scheduled for October 26, 2026.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific candidate running in the election. Because the rules specify resolving according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor as a result of the election, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the named candidate becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of the 2026 mayoral election; otherwise, it resolves No. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election do not qualify. If the outcome is not known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'. Credible reporting consensus serves as the primary resolution source, with official information from Toronto used if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Scheduled election date:
- Resolution fallback deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, with official information from Toronto as fallback
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Chow | 76% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Brad Bradford | 25% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Ana Bailão | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Michael Ford | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Anthony Furey | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Marco Mendicino | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| John Tory | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Kevin Clarke | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |