Alaska Senate Election Winner
7 live outcomes · highest priced: Mary Peltola at 74% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $1.4M total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election. Its markets measure whether individual candidates will win the race.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific candidate running in the election. Because a single candidate wins the Senate seat, at most one market can resolve Yes, while all other candidate markets will resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its specified candidate wins the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election (inclusive of any run-offs). Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate, resolution relies on official certification. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Currently scheduled date of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election.
- Confirmation Deadline: — Deadline after which the market resolves to 'Other' if election results are not confirmed.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Peltola | 74% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Sen. Dan Sullivan | 26% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ann Diener | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Dustin Darden | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Richard Grayson | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| David Leslie | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |