TX-06 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Jake Ellzey (R) at 100% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $117.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Texas's 6th congressional district (TX-06), measuring which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing political parties competing for the single congressional seat. Since each market resolves according to the winning candidate's party affiliation, only one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the TX-06 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when all House races are called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely on official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Midterm elections take place
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Ellzey (R) | 100% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Danny Minton (D) | <1% | ▼ 2 | Low | Med |