Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
3 live outcomes · highest priced: Iliana Iotova at 97% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Oct 25, 2026 · $18.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election. Markets measure which individual candidate will receive the most valid votes in the first round.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as one market per candidate. Because the rules specify resolving to the single listed candidate who receives the most valid votes (with ties broken alphabetically), at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the named candidate secures the highest number of valid votes in the first round of the election. If candidates tie for first place, the tie is broken by the alphabetical order of their listed full names. A market resolves to No if that candidate does not achieve the top rank. If the election outcome is not definitively known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other". Determination is based on a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Bulgarian Central Election Commission (CEC) serving as the definitive source in case of ambiguity.
Key dates
- Scheduled election date: — Scheduled date for the Bulgaria presidential election
- Resolution deadline: — If the result is not known definitively by 11:59 PM ET on this date, the market resolves to "Other"
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Bulgarian Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iliana Iotova | 97% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Vassil Terziev | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Yanaki Stoilov | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Atanas Atanasov | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Krum Zarkov | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Natalia Kiselova | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Delyan Peevski | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Boyko Borissov | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Blagomir Kotsev | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Rosen Plevneliev | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Andrey Gyurov | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Kostadin Kostadinov | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Nikolai Denkov | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Rosen Zhelyazkov | — | — | Not rated | — |