New York Governor Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Kathy Hochul (D) at 95% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $261.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. Its markets measure which political party's nominee will win the governor race.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of distinct markets representing political parties contesting the election. Because only one candidate and party can win the gubernatorial election, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the winning candidate of the 2026 New York gubernatorial race. A candidate represents a party if they are its official nominee, and if a named candidate is replaced before election day, the market resolves based on the replacement nominee. Independent candidates are not encompassed by party options. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate; if all three do not agree, the market resolves based on official certification.
Key dates
- Election year: The gubernatorial election takes place in 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (fallback to official certification)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul (D) | 95% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Bruce Blakeman (R) | 5% | ±0 | Low | High |