Arizona Governor Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Katie Hobbs (D) at 93% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $183.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. Individual markets measure whether a specific political party (or candidate representing that party) will win the governor race.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets representing political parties or nominees. Because the election determines a single winner, at most one market can resolve Yes, while all other options will resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the winning party or nominee in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. A candidate represents a party if they are the nominee; independent runs are not encompassed by major party options. If a named candidate is replaced as the nominee before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If consensus across all three sources is not reached, resolution relies on official certification.
Key dates
- Election Year: — The election takes place in 2026; specific calendar date is not stated in the rules.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if consensus is not reached)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs (D) | 93% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Andy Biggs (R) | 8% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |