Iowa Senate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Ashley Hinson (R) at 59% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $905.7K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Iowa U.S. Senate election. Its markets measure whether specific political parties or their nominated candidates win the seat, inclusive of any run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of one market per party or candidate option. Because each market evaluates which party wins the single Senate seat, only one outcome can resolve Yes, while all other outcomes resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if that party's nominee wins the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of run-offs; otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not agree on the call, the market resolves based on official certification. Independent candidates are not encompassed by the major party options, and if a named candidate is replaced as the party nominee before election day, the market resolves based on the replacement nominee.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Year: — Year of the Iowa U.S. Senate midterm election
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if unanimous call is not reached)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson (R) | 59% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Josh Turek (D) | 43% | ▲ 1 | Low | High |