Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
Current price
24.5¢
Implied probability 24.5%
$47.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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Resolution is strictly tied to numerical data published on a designated website (PredictionMarketOdds.com) at a specific timestamp. The rules detail exact procedures for missing prints, tie-breaking mechanisms based on historical intervals and alphabetical ordering, and strict fallback timelines for potential technical errors or data delays.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the option with the highest hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 31, 2026. If that option is not a listed outcome of this market, this market will resolve to "Other". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. An option with no hourly odds value published in that period will not be considered. If two or more options are tied for the highest value, the tie will be broken in favor of the tied option with the higher value in the most recent earlier window in which their values differed. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied option whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve in favor of the outcome of the underlying market if it is a listed outcome, and otherwise to "Other". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the options in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/dem-nomination-2028.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jon Ossoff has the highest hourly odds value for the 2028 Democratic nomination on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the window ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Jon Ossoff (Yes) if he has the highest hourly odds value in the specified listing for the window ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 31, 2026. The market resolves to another named candidate if that candidate has the highest odds. The market resolves to Other if the leading option is not listed, or if the underlying nomination market is officially decided early for an unlisted option. PredictionMarketOdds.com decides the outcome. If values are tied, earlier historical windows break the tie, followed by alphabetical order. If 'NO_PRINT' or no data is published, prior published values are used, with market closure extendable up to November 7, 2026.
Key dates
- Target evaluation time: — End of the target hourly time window for odds evaluation.
- Data publication deadline: — Latest time the market will remain open to await missing data before using previous values.
Resolution source
PredictionMarketOdds.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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