NY-01 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Nick LaLota (R) at 86% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $54.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for New York's 1st congressional district. Its markets measure which political party will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties competing for the single NY-01 congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate winning the NY-01 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections is affiliated with the specified party; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation at the time all 2026 House elections are called, or by expressed intent to caucus if not affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission serving as the fallback if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as fallback
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick LaLota (R) | 86% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Chris Gallant (D) | 14% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |