South Dakota Senate Election Winner
3 live outcomes · highest priced: Mike Rounds (R) at 92% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $65.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota. Individual markets measure whether a specific political party or independent candidate will win the seat, accounting for potential run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties or candidates competing for the same single Senate seat. Because a single election winner is determined, at most one market can resolve Yes, while all other outcomes resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if its designated party's nominee or independent candidate wins the 2026 South Dakota U.S. Senate race, inclusive of run-offs; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three outlets do not agree, resolution is determined by official certification.
Key dates
- Election Year: The midterm election year for the South Dakota U.S. Senate race. Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Rounds (R) | 92% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Brian Bengs (I) | 7% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Democrat | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med |