PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

Florida Governor Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Byron Donalds (R) at 80% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $299.2K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. Its markets measure which political party's nominee will win the race for Florida Governor.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a political party winning the election. Because there is only one winning candidate and nominee for the gubernatorial race, at most one market can resolve Yes. Candidates running as independents are not encompassed by the Democrat or Republican options.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if its party's nominee wins the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election; otherwise, it resolves to No. A candidate represents a party if they are its official nominee. If a named candidate is replaced as the party's nominee before election day, the contract name updates to the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or otherwise via official certification.

Key dates

  • Election year: — The election takes place in 2026; no exact day or month is stated in the rules.

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, and official certification

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Florida Governor Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Byron Donalds (R)80%±0LowHigh
David Jolly (D)21%±0LowHigh

Highest-priced outcome

Byron Donalds (R) · 7 daysRange 78–80%