Minnesota Senate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Peggy Flanagan (D) at 87% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $276.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election. Its markets measure which political party or candidate will win the Senate seat, inclusive of any run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets for political party nominees or candidates competing for the Senate seat. Because a single Senate seat is being contested, at most one market outcome can resolve Yes, while all other options resolve No. Additional candidate options may be added later.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the nominee of the specified party wins the 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate election, and No otherwise. If a listed candidate is replaced as the party nominee before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not agree on a call, resolution relies on the state's official certification.
Key dates
- Election year: The election takes place during the 2026 midterm cycle, inclusive of any run-offs. Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if the three sources do not agree)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peggy Flanagan (D) | 87% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| Michele Tafoya (R) | 14% | ±0 | Low | High |