Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: David Crowley (D) at 81% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $726.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election, measuring which political party's nominee will win the race.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured around political party nominees competing for the office. Because a single candidate wins the election, only one market representing the winning party can resolve Yes, while the others resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if its specified party's nominee wins the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election, and No otherwise. A candidate represents a party if they are that party's nominee; if a named candidate is replaced before election day, the market resolves based on the replacement nominee. Independent candidates are not included under major party options. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or via official certification if they do not agree.
Key dates
- Election Year: The election takes place in 2026. Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Crowley (D) | 81% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tom Tiffany (R) | 20% | ±0 | Low | High |