California Governor Election Winner
23 live outcomes · highest priced: Xavier Becerra at 96% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $42M total volume
About this event
This event covers the 2026 California gubernatorial election. Markets in this event measure whether individual named candidates will win the election for Governor of California.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains individual markets corresponding to specific candidates. Since the rules state the market resolves according to the candidate who wins the election, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes. If results are not confirmed by the deadline, the market resolves to "Other".
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if its named candidate wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election. It resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not call the race for the same candidate, resolution relies on official certification. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the market resolves to "Other".
Key dates
- Election Day: — Scheduled date of the California gubernatorial election.
- Confirmation deadline: — Deadline by which election results must be confirmed, otherwise resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if unanimous call is not reached)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra | 96% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Steve Hilton | 4% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tom Steyer | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Rick Caruso | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Alex Padilla | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Katie Porter | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Antonio Villaraigosa | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Stephen Cloobeck | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Butch Ware | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Betty Yee | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Toni Atkins | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Kyle Langford | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Chad Bianco | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Eleni Kounalakis | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Daniel Mercuri | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Tony Thurmond | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Michael Younger | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Leo Zacky | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Nicole Shanahan | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Eric Swalwell | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Kamala Harris | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Matt Mahan | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Elaine Culotti | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |