Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
6 live outcomes · highest priced: Aleksandar Vučić at 66% (−2 pts in 24h) · first close Oct 25, 2026 · $1.4M total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will become the next Prime Minister of Serbia. Markets measure whether a specific candidate officially assumes office by the specified deadline following election by the National Assembly and formal swearing-in.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured with separate markets for individual candidates. Because the resolution depends on identifying the single next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes. If no qualifying individual takes office by the deadline, the event resolves to "Other".
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the named individual officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and formally sworn in, establishing a newly formed government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister not elected by the National Assembly does not count. If no such Prime Minister takes office by the deadline, the market resolves to "Other". Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or solely by official Serbian government information in cases of ambiguity.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, with official information from the Serbian government used if there is ambiguity.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vučić | 66% | ▼ 2 | Low | High | |
| Ilija Srdanović | 22% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Ivica Dačić | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Vladan Đokić | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ana Brnabić | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Stefan Krkobabić | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Đuro Macut | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Miloš Vučević | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Branimir Jovanović | — | — | Not rated | Low | |
| Dragan Đilas | — | — | Low | Low |