EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Change in points, 24hView event →
Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 64–65%
Markets
1,979 live Polymarket markets in 732 events- LowGotcha
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.35¢+1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.45–2.35¢ - LowGotcha
Plague pandemic in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.85¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.75–2.9¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Pete Ricketts (R) · 7 daysRange 71–73% - MedGotcha
Trump out as President before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3.9¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.35–4.15¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · Since 00:56 UTCRange 77–82% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
California Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Xavier Becerra · 7 daysFlat at 96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →James Talarico (D) · 7 daysRange 62–65% - MedGotcha
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions2.1¢−0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.95–2.25¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Change in points, 24hView event → - MedGotcha
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 3 MEDIUMResolverTimingWording+12.75¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.65–2.95¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →June 30, 2027 · 7 daysRange 10–11% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 4–6% - MedGotcha
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsResolver42¢+1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 36.5–42¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording0.25¢−0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.25–1.05¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-06 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jake Ellzey (R) · 7 daysRange 94–100% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%▲ 1No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%▼ 1Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate2%±0Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate1%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 32 OUTCOMES
NHL: 2027 Champion
Colorado Avalanche12%±0Carolina Hurricanes11%±0Edmonton Oilers10%±0Florida Panthers9%±0Vegas Golden Knights8%±0+27 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Macron out by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.85¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.1–6.25¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Iran leadership change by...?
Change in points, 24hView event → - MedGotcha
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMWordingExceptions2.55¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.35–2.65¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2027 · 7 daysRange 10–21% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Amy Acton (D) · 7 daysRange 69–73% - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Worlds 2026 Winning Region
LCK (South Korea)69%▼ 1LPL (China)23%▼ 1LEC (Europe / EMEA)6%±0LCS (North America)2%▼ 1CBLOL (Brazil)<1%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo81%▼ 1Pedro Sánchez15%▼ 1Santiago Abascal3%±0Isabel Díaz Ayuso1%±0Carlos Cuerpo<1%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Saudi airspace closed by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · Since Oct 15Flat at 17% - LowGotcha
Warriors vs. Lakers
No resolution risks flagged4 checks34.5¢+6.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 27.5–34.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF
Change in points, 24hView event →FC Barcelona · Since 00:56 UTCRange 63–64% - MedGotcha
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions6.85¢+2.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.15–8.4¢ - MedGotcha
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions17.5¢−4¢ 7d7 daysRange 16–22.5¢ - EVENT · 12 OUTCOMES
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
+7 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 9–13% - HighGotcha
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGHResolverWording1.25¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.25–1.35¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Hornets vs. Nets
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 10 OUTCOMES
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru Nazare1%±0Ilie Bolojan<1%▼ 1Siegfried Mureșan<1%±0Sorin Grindeanu<1%±0Alexandru Rogobete<1%±0+5 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.65¢−2.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.45–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 7–9% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
F1 Drivers' Champion
Change in points, 24hView event → - MedGotcha
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions9.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 9.5–10.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Florida Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Byron Donalds (R) · 7 daysRange 79–81% - MedGotcha
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording6¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.5–7.5¢ - MedGotcha
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver3.85¢−1.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.05–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CO-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jeff Hurd (R) · 7 daysRange 70–73% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mary Peltola · 7 daysRange 73–74% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Change in points, 24hView event →Tampa Bay Rays · 7 daysRange 35–81%