Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Current price
1.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.25%
$66.6M total volume · YES/NO
High gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market hinges on an event that lacks objective, universally agreed-upon empirical verification criteria. Because resolution depends on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an authoritative, definitive standard, the resolving entity has broad discretion in determining whether any reported religious event or claim meets the definition of the event described. The deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is clearly specified, but holders must navigate inherent ambiguity regarding what evidence or reporting would be accepted as proof.
- Wording ambiguity
- High
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if this event does not occur by the specified deadline. The outcome will be determined by a consensus of credible sources.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — The Second Coming of Jesus Christ must occur by this time for the market to resolve Yes.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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