Warriors vs. Lakers
Current price
27.5¢
Implied probability 27.5%
$16.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows a straightforward sports outcome structure with clear resolution criteria based on the final score of the specified NBA game, including overtime. Postponement and cancellation contingencies are explicitly defined, leaving little room for ambiguity or unexpected outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the winner of the NBA game between the Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Lakers.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "Warriors" if the Warriors win the game based on the final score including overtime periods. The market resolves to "Lakers" if the Lakers win based on the final score including overtime periods. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. The rules do not specify a deciding source.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — The NBA game is scheduled for October 21 at 10:00PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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