Next Prime Minister of Romania?
16 live outcomes · highest priced: Ilie Bolojan at 1% · first close Dec 31, 2026 · $5.5M total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will become the next Prime Minister of Romania. Each market corresponds to a specific individual and measures whether that person will officially take office and form a new government by the end of 2027.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured with one market per potential candidate. Because the rules state the event resolves to the single next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes. If no listed candidate qualifies, the market resolves to "Other".
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the named individual is formally appointed by the President of Romania and receives a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not win a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count. If no qualifying Prime Minister takes office by the deadline, the market resolves to "Other".
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Romania, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilie Bolojan | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Alexandru Nazare | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Leonardo Badea | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Sorin Grindeanu | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| George Simion | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Alexandru Rogobete | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Eugen Tomac | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Traian Basescu | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Victor Ponta | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Siegfried Mureșan | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Dragoș Pîslaru | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Cătălin Predoiu | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Marcel Ciolacu | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Cătălin Drulă | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Radu Burnete | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Adrian Veștea | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Mugur Isărescu | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Mircea Geoană | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Anca Dragu | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Lucian Isar | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Alexandru Rafila | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Sebastian Burduja | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Ionuț Dumitru | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Elena Lasconi | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Vasile Dîncu | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Dacian Cioloș | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Emil Boc | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Dominic Fritz | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Raluca Turcan | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Lucian Croitoru | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Delia Velculescu | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Nicolae Ciucă | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Hunor Kelemen | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Calin Georgescu | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Șerban Matei | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Dan Motreanu | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Ciprian Ciucu | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Luca Niculescu | — | — | Low | Med |